Monday, December 21, 2009

Preview: 12/22 @ECU


GW 7-2 @ ECU 5-6. 7pm

Notes:
  • ECU leads the series 8-5.
  • ECU and GW both have 6 Freshmen on the roster. Yet, none of ECU's freshmen have contributed.
  • The C-USA Preseason media poll picked ECU to finish 11th in the conference.
  • ECU has faltered against BCS and Mid-Majors this year. They lost to a talented Wake Forest squad by 30+, a ranked Tennessee team, @ A-10's UNC-C, at home to Clemson and to Northern Iowa. Their most impressive win to date is against UNC-Greensboro on the road. They have beaten 3 non-Div. I opponents.
  • ECU relies mostly on the Guards to do much of the scoring but will turn the ball over consistently
  • KenPom.com gives them a 31% chance to win the game.
  • Vegas lists us as a 3 point underdog.


Key Players- ECU
  • Brock Young, a 5-11 guard is averaging 15.1 points including a season high of 24 pts against UNCC. The Young-Taylor match-up will be exciting to watch as Taylor will have his hands full with ECU's Young. While he is averaging 6 assists a game he is also averages 5 turnovers a game. FKH predicts GW to intercept some of his errant passes as GW's press will ultimately allow GW to come away with the win.
  • Jontae Sherrod who is 2nd on the team in scoring with 13 points a game also has trouble with turnovers. His A/T rate is an abysmal .79 for a guard. After a decent start, he has had trouble getting his shots to fall from the field. In his last game he played the entire 40 min while going 6-17 from the field following a 3-12 night against Clemson.
  • Darrius Murrow is ECU's big man. He is listed as 6-8 250 lbs. He has been averaging 12.4 points while almost 7 rebs a game and shooting 60% from the field. Murrow could cause matchup problems for our lanky big men who have a tendency to get pushed around by wider men who shoot high percentage shots. Stopping Murrow from dominating inside on the boards will be important.
Prediction
  • FKH is predicting a cool 78-61 win by the Colonials. We expect to dominate the game with fast break points and force turnovers. The 3 Keys to this game will be Hollis creating his own shot, creating turnovers, and stopping Murrow because their guards will get their points when they break our trap.
  • We think the smart money goes on the underdogs.

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